Ginbo Gatiso, Tsegaye
- Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Abstract
Impacts of climate change can differ from one region to another. We combine the household-level panel data with weather and climate data to examine the heterogeneity of the impacts of climate change on crop yields across different crops and agro-ecologies in Ethiopia. Our results show that climate change will induce an increase in coffee and teff yields by 31% and 8.3%, respectively, at high altitudes by the years 2041-2060 compared to 1988-2018, under a medium emissions scenario. Conversely, it will reduce coffee yield by 3% at low altitudes, and barley, maize, and wheat yield by 22.7%, 48%, and 10%, respectively, at high altitudes. These findings suggest that tailoring agricultural development programs and climate adaptation strategies to address location and crop-specific sensitivity to climate change may help to build resilience and improve the livelihood of smallholder farmers.
Keywords
Climate change; Crop yields; Production risk; Climate resilience
Published in
Climatic Change
2022, volume: 170, number: 1-2, article number: 12
Publisher: SPRINGER
SLU Authors
Global goals (SDG)
SDG2 Zero hunger
SDG13 Climate action
UKÄ Subject classification
Climate Science
Economics
Agricultural Science
Publication identifier
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03306-1
Permanent link to this page (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/115863