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Review article2025Peer reviewedOpen access

Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

Bjerke, Jarle W.; Lopez-Blanco, Efren; Tommervik, Hans; Striberny, Anja; Davids, Corine; Olafsdottir, Rannveig; Karlsen, Stein Rune; Sandstrom, Per; Turunen, Minna; Rikkonen, Taru; Arneberg, Marit K.; Siikavuopio, Sten; Zinglersen, Karl; Lynge-Pedersen, Kristine; Sandstrom, Stefan; Rautio, Pasi

Abstract

The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritimeinfluenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015-2100 under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.

Keywords

Climate; Extremes; Geohazards; Warming; Drought; Flooding; Arctic

Published in

Earth-Science Reviews
2025, volume: 261, article number: 105012

SLU Authors

UKÄ Subject classification

Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Physical Geography

Publication identifier

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

Permanent link to this page (URI)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/140096