Erroneous conclusions about current geographical distribution and future expansion of forest insects in Northern Sweden: comments on Hof and Svahlin (2015)

Abstract

We question the validity of the results and the conclusions from a study entitled The potential effect of climate change on the geographical distribution of insect pest species in the Swedish boreal forest that was recently published in Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research. The main problem is that for several of the species the current geographical distributions presented in the paper (based on modeling of a limited set of occurrence data) are vastly underestimated compared with distribution maps in standard reference literature and other available occurrence data. As a consequence of that the predicted major future range expansions of these important pest species are also erroneous.

Keywords

Climate change; geographical distribution; Norway spruce; pest insects; Scots pine; species distribution modeling

Published in

Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research
2016, volume: 31, number: 1, pages: 126-127
Publisher: TAYLOR & FRANCIS AS

SLU Authors

• Björklund, Niklas

  • Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
    

• Lindelöw, Åke

  • Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
    

• Schroeder, Martin

  • Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
    

Associated SLU-program

SLU Plant Protection Network

Global goals (SDG)

SDG13 Climate action

UKÄ Subject classification

Ecology

Publication identifier

• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2015.1086018

Permanent link to this page (URI)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/68993