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Research article2020Peer reviewedOpen access

Spatial risk assessment of global change impacts on Swedish seagrass ecosystems

Perry, Diana; Hammar, Linus; Linderholm, Hans W.; Gullstrom, Martin

Abstract

Improved knowledge on the risk in ecologically important habitats on a regional scale from multiple stressors is critical for managing functioning and resilient ecosystems. This risk assessment aimed to identify seagrass ecosystems in southern Sweden that will be exposed to a high degree of change from multiple global change stressors in mid- and endof- century climate change conditions. Risk scores were calculated from the expected overlap of three stressors: sea surface temperature increases, ocean acidification and wind driven turbid conditions. Three high-risk regions were identified as areas likely to be exposed to a particularly high level of pressure from the global stressors by the end of the century. In these areas it can be expected that there will be a large degree of stressor change from the current conditions. Given the ecological importance of seagrass meadows for maintaining high biodiversity and a range of other ecosystem services, these risk zones should be given high priority for incorporation into management strategies, which can attempt to reduce controllable stressors in order to mitigate the consequences of some of the impending pressures and manage for maintained ecosystem resilience. © 2020 Perry et al.

Published in

PLoS ONE
2020, Volume: 15, number: 1, article number: e0225318

    Sustainable Development Goals

    Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts

    UKÄ Subject classification

    Climate Research
    Ecology

    Publication identifier

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0225318

    Permanent link to this page (URI)

    https://res.slu.se/id/publ/105158