Research article2023Peer reviewedOpen access
Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique
Neves, José Lourenço; Sellick, Tanja Katharina; Hasan, Abdulghani; Pilesjö, Petter
Abstract
Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km2 (13.7%), 44.8 km2 (12.2%), and 39.0 km2 (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km2 (11.8%), 31.8 km2 (8.6%), and 28.9 km2 (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.
Published in
African Geographical Review
2023, Volume: 42, number: 5, pages: 539-559
UKÄ Subject classification
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources
Publication identifier
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133
Permanent link to this page (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/117310