Kriström, Bengt
- Department of Forest Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
- Umeå University
Research article2015Peer reviewed
Johansson, P.O.; Kriström, B.
This paper is devoted to some important welfare economic issues related to natural disasters, in particular those connected with floods and storms. Our analysis of the social cost of a natural disaster is different from (most) existing analyses, in that we focus sharply on the welfare effects of a disaster. We derive a simple dynamic general equilibrium cost-benefit rule, which captures loss in production of private and public goods, as well as the value of (statistical) lives lost; it also clarifies the role played by changes in stocks and flows, respectively. Standard analysis of losses typically only includes damages to market-priced stocks and flows, thus our model paints a different picture of social cost. This difference is particularly striking for disaster that results in many deaths, but has relatively low (reported) costs. We take our model to the data by using EM-DAT, one of the several prominent databases in this literature, focusing on water-related disasters in the US.
cost-benefit analysis; dynamic models; EM-DAT; Natural disasters; rules; water use
Water Economics and Policy
2015, Volume: 1, number: 3, article number: 71550015Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd
Economics
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2382624X15500150
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/132016