Including climate change in pest risk assessment: Current practices and perspectives for future implementation

Abstract

The evaluation of the potential for newly arrived species to survive and the determination whether a founder population can become established and subsequently spread and cause negative impacts are crucial considerations when performing a pest risk assessment in plant health. Climate change has clear consequences concerning the potential range of pests, and their potential for spread and impacts. Despite its importance, no guidance exists to support the evaluation of whether and how climate change should be incorporated into pest risk assessment. This paper reviews how climate change has been considered so far, not only in the area of pest risk assessment but also in other domains and provides guidance on how its incorporation could affect the overall assessment. Furthermore, from this analysis, some possible solutions for incorporating climate change into pest risk assessment are provided, taking into account that its outcomes have profound political, economic, social and environmental implications.

Keywords

climate change; pest risk assessment; plant health; plant pests; time horizon

Published in

EPPO Bulletin
2024, Volume: 54, number: Supplement 1, pages: 52-72

SLU Authors

• Björklund, Niklas

  • Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
    

• Boberg, Johanna

  • Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
    

UKÄ Subject classification

Environmental Sciences related to Agriculture and Land-use


Publication identifier

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/epp.12989

Permanent link to this page (URI)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/132367