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Other publication, 2015

Integrating the Agricultural Sector into the New EU Climate Policy Framework for 2030: A Scenario Analysis to Highlight Potential Impacts and Challenges

Witzke, Peter; Fellmann, Thomas; Van Doorslaer, Benjamin; Huck, Ingo; Weiss, Franz; Salputra, Guna; Jansson, Torbjörn; Drabik, Dusan; Leip, Adrian;

Abstract

According to the European Council's recent agreement on domestic climate and energy goals, greenhouse gas emissions from sectors outside the EU's Emission Trading Scheme have to be cut by 30% below 2005 levels by 2030. So far no decision has been taken on agriculture's specific involvement in mitigation obligations or on how mitigation targets would be distributed between Member States. Based on hypothetical assumptions, we employ the CAPRI model to illustrate and highlight some potential impacts and challenges related to an integration of the agricultural sector into the new EU climate policy framework. Results of the hypothetical mitigation policy scenario show important impacts on EU agriculture, in particular the livestock sector, if the distribution key of the current Effort Sharing Decision would be rigidly applied as in our assumptions. The results highlight the importance of a targeted but flexible implementation of mitigation policy instruments in the EU and its Member States, as well as the need for a wider consideration and adoption of technological mitigation options.

Keywords

climate change; economic modelling; mathematical programming; the common Agricultural policy

Published in


Publisher: University of Minnesota

Authors' information

Witzke, Peter
EuroCARE Bonn GmbH
Fellmann, Thomas
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS)
Van Doorslaer, Benjamin
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS)
Huck, Ingo
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS)
Weiss, Franz
Institute for Environment and Sustainability (JRC-IES)
Salputra, Guna
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS)
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Economics
Drabik, Dusan
Wageningen University & Research Centre (Wageningen UR)
Leip, Adrian
Institute for Environment and Sustainability (JRC-IES)

Associated SLU-program

Climate

UKÄ Subject classification

Economics
Climate Research

URI (permanent link to this page)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/73793