Research article - Peer-reviewed, 2019
Comparing the steady state results of a range of multispecies models between and across geographical areas by the use of the jacobian matrix of yield on fishing mortality rate
Pope, John G.; Bartolino, Valerio; Kulatska, Nataliia; Bauer, Barbara; Horbowy, Jan; Ribeiro, Joana P. C.; Sturludottir, Erla; Thorpe, RobertAbstract
Like other fisheries models, multispecies models are subject to various sources of error. However, with regard to their use for ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) between model errors are likely to be most important. As multispecies models are by definition many-dimensional, comparing them is potentially a complex task. The paper uses a simple approach. This is to calculate the Jacobian matrix of long term steady state catch by species with respect to the fishing mortality relative to status quo levels on all species. This enables the comparison of the relative strength of species interactions among models both within and between regions. This Jacobian matrix approach to comparing multispecies models is applied to available models for the North Sea, the Baltic Sea and from Icelandic waters. Moreover, this information is used to provide the basis for estimating a multidimensional quadratic yield surface for each model in the near field. Used this way it is possible to compare different model estimations of fishing mortality rate changes needed to approach yield-related management goals. The results suggest considerable variation between models in their detailed results but more coherence in suggesting directions for changing fishing mortality rate. Thus the approach is of considerable importance in specifying the confidence with which it is possible to make multispecies predictions for EBFM.Keywords
Comparing multispecies models; North Sea; Baltic Sea; Icelandic waters; EBFM; JacobianPublished in
Fisheries Research2019, volume: 209, pages: 259-270
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Authors' information
Pope, John G.
NRC Europe Ltd
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Aquatic Resources
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Aquatic Resources
Bauer, Barbara
Stockholm University
Horbowy, Jan
National Marine Fisheries Research Institute
Ribeiro, Joana P. C.
University of Iceland
Sturludottir, Erla
University of Iceland
Thorpe, Robert
Centre for Environment Fisheries and Aquaculture Science
Associated SLU-program
Use of FOMA data
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG14 Life below water
UKÄ Subject classification
Fish and Aquacultural Science
Publication Identifiers
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2018.08.011
URI (permanent link to this page)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/97910