Arlt, Debora
- Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
- SLU Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Research article2023Peer reviewedOpen access
The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis
Halupka, Lucyna; Arlt, Debora; Tolvanen, Jere; Millon, Alexandre; Bize, Pierre; Adamik, Peter; Albert, Pascal; Arendt, Wayne J.; V. Artemyev, Alexander; Baglione, Vittorio; Banbura, Jerzy; Banbura, Miroslawa; Barba, Emilio; Barrett, Robert T.; Becker, Peter H.; Belskii, Eugen; Bolton, Mark; Bowers, E. Keith; Bried, Joel; Brouwer, Lyanne; Bukacinska, Monika; Bukacinski, Dariusz; Bulluck, Lesley; Carstens, Kate F.; Catry, Ines; Charter, Motti; Chernomorets, Anna; Covas, Rita; Czuchra, Monika; Dearborn, Donald C.; de Lope, Florentino; Di Giacomo, Adrian S.; Dombrovski, Valery C.; Drummond, Hugh; Dunn, Michael J.; Eeva, Tapio; Emmerson, Louise M.; Espmark, Yngve; Fargallo, Juan A.; Gashkov, Sergey I.; Golubova, Elena Yu.; Griesser, Michael; Harris, Michael P.; Hoover, Jeffrey P.; Jagielio, Zuzanna; Korell, Patrik; Kloskowski, Janusz; Koenig, Walter D.; Kolunen, Heikki; Korczak-Abshire, Magorzata; Korpimaeki, Erkki; Krams, Indrikis; Krist, Milos; Kruger, Sonja C.; Kuranov, Boris D.; Lambin, Xavier; Lombardo, Michael P.; Lyakhov, Andrey; Marzal, Alfonso; Moller, Anders P.; Neves, Veronica C.; Nielsen, Jan Tottrup; Numerov, Alexander; Orlowska, Beata; Oro, Daniel; oest, Markus; Phillips, Richard A.; Pietiaeinen, Hannu; Polo, Vicente; Porkert, Jiri; Potti, Jaime; Poeysae, Hannu; Printemps, Thierry; Prop, Jouke; Quillfeldt, Petra; Ramos, Jaime A.; Ravussin, Pierre-Alain; Rosenfield, Robert N.; Roulin, Alexandre; Rubenstein, Dustin R.; Samusenko, Irina E.; Saunders, Denis A.; Schaub, Michael; Senar, Juan C.; Sergio, Fabrizio; Solonen, Tapio; V. Solovyeva, Diana; Stepniewski, Janusz; Thompson, Paul M.; Tobolka, Marcin; Toeroek, Janos; van de Pol, Martijn; Vernooij, Louis; Visser, Marcel E.; Westneat, David F.; Wheelwright, Nathaniel T.; Wiacek, Jaroslaw; Wiebe, Karen L.; Wood, Andrew G.; Wuczynski, Andrzej; Wysocki, Dariusz; Zarybnicka, Marketa; Margalida, Antoni; Halupka, Konrad
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Abstract
Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few stud-ies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to repro-ductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.
Keywords
climate change; birds; offspring production; meta-analysis
Published in
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2023, Volume: 120, number: 19, article number: e2208389120
Publisher: NATL ACAD SCIENCES
SLU Authors
UKÄ Subject classification
Ecology
Environmental Sciences
Publication identifier
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2208389120
Permanent link to this page (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/124718