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Research article - Peer-reviewed, 2022

Climate change reshuffles northern species within their niches

Antao, Laura H.; Weigel, Benjamin; Strona, Giovanni; Hallfors, Maria; Kaarlejarvi, Elina; Dallas, Tad; Opedal, Oystein H.; Heliola, Janne; Henttonen, Heikki; Huitu, Otso; Korpimaki, Erkki; Kuussaari, Mikko; Lehikoinen, Aleksi; Leinonen, Reima; Linden, Andreas; Merila, Paivi; Pietiainen, Hannu; Poyry, Juha; Salemaa, Maija; Tonteri, Tiina;
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Climate change is a pervasive threat to biodiversity. While range shifts are a known consequence of climate warming contributing to regional community change, less is known about how species' positions shift within their climatic niches. Furthermore, whether the relative importance of different climatic variables prompting such shifts varies with changing climate remains unclear. Here we analysed four decades of data for 1,478 species of birds, mammals, butterflies, moths, plants and phytoplankton along a 1,200 km high latitudinal gradient. The relative importance of climatic drivers varied non-uniformly with progressing climate change. While species turnover among decades was limited, the relative position of species within their climatic niche shifted substantially. A greater proportion of species responded to climatic change at higher latitudes, where changes were stronger. These diverging climate imprints restructure a full biome, making it difficult to generalize biodiversity responses and raising concerns about ecosystem integrity in the face of accelerating climate change.The authors analyse four decades of distribution data for various taxonomic groups to understand the shift of species within their climatic niches and the changing influences of different climate factors. The diverse and diverging climate imprints raise concerns about future ecosystem integrity.

Published in

Nature Climate Change
2022, volume: 12, pages: 587–592

Authors' information

Antao, Laura H.
University of Helsinki
Weigel, Benjamin
University of Helsinki
Strona, Giovanni
University of Helsinki
Hallfors, Maria
University of Helsinki
Kaarlejarvi, Elina
University of Helsinki
Dallas, Tad
University of South Carolina Columbia
Opedal, Oystein H.
Lund University
Heliola, Janne
Finnish Environment Institute
Henttonen, Heikki
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
Huitu, Otso
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
Korpimaki, Erkki
University of Turku
Kuussaari, Mikko
Finnish Environment Institute
Lehikoinen, Aleksi
University of Helsinki
Leinonen, Reima
Kainuu Ctr Econ Dev Transport and Environm
Linden, Andreas
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
Merila, Paivi
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
Pietiainen, Hannu
University of Helsinki
Poyry, Juha
Finnish Environment Institute
Salemaa, Maija
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
Tonteri, Tiina
Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)
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Sustainable Development Goals

SDG15 Life on land

UKÄ Subject classification

Climate Research
Environmental Sciences

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