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Forskningsartikel2017Vetenskapligt granskad

Forest Landscape Development Scenarios (FoLDS)-A framework for integrating forest models, owners' behaviour and socio-economic developments

Hengeveld, Geerten M.; Schuell, Elmar; Trubins, Renats; Sallnas, Ola

Sammanfattning

The FoLDS framework presented in this paper is set up to develop scenarios for forested landscapes with a transparent connection between the broad-scale developments in socio-economic factors and the ecosystem services provided. The forests that provide these ecosystem services are managed by a multitude of forest owners. Different forest owners have their own objectives and will thus adjust their forest management differently to socioeconomic developments. The FoLDS framework breaks down the connection from socio-economic developments to the landscape level in three steps. In the first step, a structure is provided for deciding on scenarios combining the socio-economic factors that have most influence on forest owners. In the second step, the scenarios are translated to the distribution of forest management approaches in the landscape by invoking a behavioural matrix of forest owner types and forest management decisions. The third step involves the implementation of these forest management approaches in a forest modelling tool that is tailored to the specific landscape at hand. The results of these calculations are then translated to a set of indicators for the ecosystem services of interest A survey among researchers experienced with the FoLDS framework indicates that there is an added value in systematically including both qualitative and quantitative scenario methods for forested landscapes. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Nyckelord

Forest management approach; Ecosystem services; Forest owner types; Behavioural matrix

Publicerad i

Forest Policy and Economics
2017, Volym: 85, sidor: 245-255
Utgivare: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV

      SLU författare

    • Globala målen

      SDG15 Skydda, återställa och främja ett hållbart nyttjande av landbaserade ekosystem, hållbart bruka skogar, bekämpa ökenspridning, hejda och vrida tillbaka markförstöringen samt hejda förlusten av biologisk mångfald

      UKÄ forskningsämne

      Skogsvetenskap

      Publikationens identifierare

      DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2017.03.007

      Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

      https://res.slu.se/id/publ/93519