Futter, Martyn
- Institutionen för vatten och miljö, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Forskningsartikel2023Vetenskapligt granskadÖppen tillgång
Rankinen, Katri; Futter, Martyn; Bhattacharjee, Joy; Bernal, Jose E. Cano; Lannergard, Emma E.; Ojanen, Maria; Ronkanen, Anna-Kaisa; Marttila, Hannu; Hellsten, Seppo
In Northern Finland, the most significant land use challenges are related to bioenergy production from peat extraction and forest biomass. Increasing societal demand for bioenergy may increase production rates. However, environmental impacts of peat extraction are of increasing concern, which has led to a decline in production, thereby freeing up these areas for other uses. Using storylines for different societal futures and process-based models (PERSiST and INCA), we simulated the effect of simultaneous land use change and climate change on water quality (phosphorus, nitrogen and suspended sediments concentration). Conversion of peat extraction areas to arable land, together with climate change, may pose a risk for deterioration of ecological status. On the other hand, continuous forestry may have positive impacts on water quality. Suspended sediment concentrations in the river do not exceed water quality requirements for salmonids, but nitrogen concentrations may exceed threshold values especially during high flows. A storyline emphasizing sustainable development in energy pro-duction led to the best outcome in terms of water protection.
Peatland; Land use; Nitrogen; Phosphorus; Mathematical modelling; Climate change
CATENA
2023, volym: 226, artikelnummer: 107045
Utgivare: ELSEVIER
SDG6 Rent vatten och sanitet för alla
SDG13 Bekämpa klimatförändringarna
Miljö- och naturvårdsvetenskap
Oceanografi, hydrologi, vattenresurser
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/122035