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Sammanfattning

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the potential goal conflict between two of Sweden's environmental objectives: Sustainable Forests and Reduced Climate Impact - or, more precisely, the conflict between forest conservation and the supply of wood fuel. To accomplish this, we use a forest sector model that includes the suppliers and major users of roundwood. The econometric results, based on a data set that spans 40 years, show that all the own price elasticities have the expected signs. Among the three forestry products, the supply and (long-term) demand of forest fuel seems to be most sensitive to a price change. In a second step, the estimated model is used to simulate the effect of increased forest conservation - the Sustainable Forest objective - on the supply of wood fuel. If oil is used as a substitute, Swedish emissions of greenhouse gases will increase by almost 0.92 percent, which indicates a clear conflict with the Reduced Climate Impact objective. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Nyckelord

Goal conflict; Wood fuels; Forest sector model; Roundwood markets; Forest conservation

Publicerad i

Resource and Energy Economics
2011, volym: 33, nummer: 1, sidor: 94-106
Utgivare: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV

SLU författare

Globala målen (SDG)

SDG7 Hållbar energi för alla
SDG12 Hållbar konsumtion och produktion
SDG15 Ekosystem och biologisk mångfald

UKÄ forskningsämne

Bioenergi
Skogsvetenskap
Miljö- och naturvårdsvetenskap

Publikationens identifierare

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.reseneeco.2010.01.004

Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/47394