Ruete, Alejandro
- Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Abstract
5. Synthesis. Statements about the viability of populations should not be based on point estimates of log lambda(S). Instead, the full probability distribution of log lambda(S) should be used, which explicitly accounts for the hierarchically structured natural variability and uncertainty. This distribution allows estimating the risk for a population decline, or providing an estimate of the confidence in a statement about a decline. This quantitative information can be weighed against other interests. We expect this Bayesian approach to be especially useful in the viability analysis of natural populations experiencing environmental variability.
Keywords
bryophyte; climate; environmental stochasticity; hierarchical Bayesian model; plant population and community dynamics; plant-climate interactions; population viability; stochastic growth rate; uncertainty
Published in
Journal of Ecology
2012, volume: 100, number: 2, pages: 499-507
Publisher: WILEY-BLACKWELL
SLU Authors
Snäll, Tord
- Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
- Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
UKÄ Subject classification
Environmental Sciences and Nature Conservation
Publication identifier
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01887.x
Permanent link to this page (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/56356