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Forskningsartikel2020Vetenskapligt granskadÖppen tillgång

No polarization-Expected Values of Climate Change Impacts among European Forest Professionals and Scientists

Blennow, Kristina; Persson, Johannes; Gonçalves, Luísa; Borys, Alexander; Dutcă, Ioan; Hynynen, Jari; Janeczko, Emilia; Lyubenova, Mariyana; Martel, Simon; Merganic, Jan; Merganicova, Katarina; Peltoniemi, Mikko; Petr, Michal; Reboredo, Fernando H.; Vacchiano, Giorgio; Reyer, Christopher P.O.

Sammanfattning

The role of values in climate-related decision-making is a prominent theme of climate communication research. The present study examines whether forest professionals are more driven by values than scientists are, and if this results in value polarization. A questionnaire was designed to elicit and assess the values assigned to expected effects of climate change by forest professionals and scientists working on forests and climate change in Europe. The countries involved covered a north-to-south and west-to-east gradient across Europe, representing a wide range of bio-climatic conditions and a mix of economic-social-political structures. We show that European forest professionals and scientists do not exhibit polarized expectations about the values of specific impacts of climate change on forests in their countries. In fact, few differences between forest professionals and scientists were found. However, there are interesting differences in the expected values of forest professionals with regard to climate change impacts across European countries. In Northern European countries, the aggregated values of the expected effects are more neutral than they are in Southern Europe, where they are more negative. Expectations about impacts on timber production, economic returns, and regulatory ecosystem services are mostly negative, while expectations about biodiversity and energy production are mostly positive.

Nyckelord

climate change impacts; decision-making; risk perception; homogeneity of expected values; value polarization; strength of expected values

Publicerad i

Sustainability
2020, Volym: 12, nummer: 7, artikelnummer: 2659

    Globala målen

    SDG13 Vidta omedelbara åtgärder för att bekämpa klimatförändringarna och dess konsekvenser

    UKÄ forskningsämne

    Skogsvetenskap
    Klimatforskning

    Publikationens identifierare

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072659

    Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

    https://res.slu.se/id/publ/104953