Ginbo Gatiso, Tsegaye
- Institutionen för ekonomi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Sammanfattning
Impacts of climate change can differ from one region to another. We combine the household-level panel data with weather and climate data to examine the heterogeneity of the impacts of climate change on crop yields across different crops and agro-ecologies in Ethiopia. Our results show that climate change will induce an increase in coffee and teff yields by 31% and 8.3%, respectively, at high altitudes by the years 2041-2060 compared to 1988-2018, under a medium emissions scenario. Conversely, it will reduce coffee yield by 3% at low altitudes, and barley, maize, and wheat yield by 22.7%, 48%, and 10%, respectively, at high altitudes. These findings suggest that tailoring agricultural development programs and climate adaptation strategies to address location and crop-specific sensitivity to climate change may help to build resilience and improve the livelihood of smallholder farmers.
Nyckelord
Climate change; Crop yields; Production risk; Climate resilience
Publicerad i
Climatic Change
2022, volym: 170, nummer: 1-2, artikelnummer: 12
Utgivare: SPRINGER
SLU författare
Globala målen (SDG)
SDG2 Ingen hunger
SDG13 Bekämpa klimatförändringarna
UKÄ forskningsämne
Klimatvetenskap
Nationalekonomi
Jordbruksvetenskap
Publikationens identifierare
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03306-1
Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/115863