Andersson Franko, Mikael
- Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Research article2005Peer reviewed
Andersson, Mikael; Ekdahl, Karl; Mölstad, Sigvard; Persson, Kristina; Hansson, Hans Bertil; Giesecke, Johan
In 1995, a disease control and intervention project was initiated in Malmöhus county in southern Sweden to limit the spread of penicillin-resistant pneumococci. Since most of the carriers of pneumococci are preschool children, and since most of the spread is believed to take place in day-care, a mathematical model, in the form of a stochastic process, for the spread in a day-care group was constructed. Effects of seasonal variation and size of the day-care group were particularly considered. The model was then used for comparing results from computer simulations without and with intervention. Results indicate that intervention is highly effective in day-care groups with more than ten children during the second half of the year
epidemic model; stochastic process; infectious disease; pneumococci; disease intervention
Statistics in Medicine
2005, Volume: 24, number: 23, pages: 3593-3607
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/31152