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Översiktsartikel2016Vetenskapligt granskadÖppen tillgång

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

Urban, M. C.; Bocedi, G.; Hendry, A. P.; Mihoub, J. -B.; Pe'er, G.; Singer, A.; Bridle, J. R.; Crozier, L. G.; De Meester, L.; Godsoe, W.; Gonzalez, A.; Hellmann, J. J.; Holt, R. D.; Huth, A.; Johst, K.; Krug, C. B.; Leadley, P. W.; Palmer, S. C. F.; Pantel, J. H.; Schmitz, A.;
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Sammanfattning

New biological models are incorporating the realistic processes underlying biological responses to climate change and other human-caused disturbances. However, these more realistic models require detailed information, which is lacking for most species on Earth. Current monitoring efforts mainly document changes in biodiversity, rather than collecting the mechanistic data needed to predict future changes. We describe and prioritize the biological information needed to inform more realistic projections of species' responses to climate change. We also highlight how trait-based approaches and adaptive modeling can leverage sparse data to make broader predictions. We outline a global effort to collect the data necessary to better understand, anticipate, and reduce the damaging effects of climate change on biodiversity.

Publicerad i

Science
2016, Volym: 353, nummer: 6304, artikelnummer: aad8466

    Globala målen

    SDG13 Bekämpa klimatförändringarna
    SDG15 Ekosystem och biologisk mångfald

    UKÄ forskningsämne

    Ekologi

    Publikationens identifierare

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad8466

    Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

    https://res.slu.se/id/publ/78491