Tigabu, Mulualem
- Institutionen för sydsvensk skogsvetenskap, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Sammanfattning
Frequent and intense anthropogenic fires present meaningful challenges to forest management in the boreal forest of China. Understanding the underlying drivers of human-caused fire occurrence is crucial for making effective and scientifically-based forest fire management plans. In this study, we applied logistic regression (LR) and Random Forests (RF) to identify important biophysical and anthropogenic factors that help to explain the likelihood of anthropogenic fires in the Chinese boreal forest. Results showed that the anthropogenic fires were more likely to occur at areas close to railways and were significantly influenced by forest types. In addition, distance to settlement and distance to road were identified as important predictors for anthropogenic fire occurrence. The model comparison indicated that RF had greater ability than LR to predict forest fires caused by human activity in the Chinese boreal forest. High fire risk zones in the study area were identified based on RF, where we recommend increasing allocation of fire management resources.
Nyckelord
human-caused fire; driving factors; forest fire; Daxing'an Mountains; ROC curve
Publicerad i
Forests
2016, volym: 7, nummer: 11, artikelnummer: 250
Utgivare: MDPI AG
SLU författare
Associerade SLU-program
Skog
Globala målen (SDG)
SDG11 Hållbara städer och samhällen
SDG13 Bekämpa klimatförändringarna
SDG15 Ekosystem och biologisk mångfald
UKÄ forskningsämne
Skogsvetenskap
Publikationens identifierare
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f7110250
Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/81148