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Forskningsartikel2021Vetenskapligt granskadÖppen tillgång

Costs and equity of uncertain greenhouse gas reductions-fuel, food and negative emissions in Sweden

Gren, Ing-Marie; Tirkaso, Wondmagegn

Sammanfattning

Reducing emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) by reduction of fuel and food consumption and by implementation of negative emissions (such as forest carbon sequestration and carbon capture and storage) has been suggested in both scientific literature and practice, but there exist no calculations of the cost efficient combination of these measures. One challenge for calculations is the uncertainty in reductions of GHG, in particular for negative emissions, depending on e.g. stochastic weather conditions. This paper develops a static model with probabilistic emission constraints to calculate cost efficient emission reductions in the transportation (gasoline and diesel) and food (meat and dairy products) sectors combined with negative emission (carbon sequestration and carbon capture and storage technologies) creation in Sweden under uncertainty. The results show that emission reductions in fuel and food consumption are relatively expensive, and that carbon sequestration are relatively low cost measures. We also show that the regional effects at the county level are regressive, that is, that relatively poor counties will carry large cost burdens in the cost efficient solutions and that this effect is increased when negative emissions are included but decreased when uncertainty is considered.

Nyckelord

GHG emissions; Cost efficiency; Equity; Transports; Food; Negative emissions; Uncertainty; Sweden

Publicerad i

Energy Economics
2021, Volym: 104, artikelnummer: 105638
Utgivare: ELSEVIER

      SLU författare

    • Globala målen

      SDG7 Säkerställa tillgång till ekonomiskt överkomlig, tillförlitlig, hållbar och modern energi för alla
      SDG13 Vidta omedelbara åtgärder för att bekämpa klimatförändringarna och dess konsekvenser

      UKÄ forskningsämne

      Nationalekonomi

      Publikationens identifierare

      DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105638

      Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

      https://res.slu.se/id/publ/114656